Seasonal Forecasts
Objective seasonal rainfall and temperature forecast maps for Africa.
- Precipitation maps
- Temperature maps
Long-range Forecasting
Seasonal outlooks for Africa
Regional climate guidance for the months and seasons ahead.
Long-range forecasting function
From global guidance to regional outlooks
ACMAD collects ensemble and multimodel guidance from Global Producing Centres for Long-Range Forecasts, assesses the performance of those systems and develops consolidated outlooks for Africa and its sub-regions.
The resulting maps, bulletins, consensus statements and verification products support regional climate services and climate-sensitive decision-making.
Operational outlooks
Seasonal forecast products
Explore locally managed maps and documents covering the forecast, its interpretation and agreed regional guidance.
Seasonal Outlook Bulletins
Seasonal forecast interpretation, expected conditions and regional guidance for climate-sensitive decisions.
Consensus Statements for the Region and Sub-regions
Agreed regional outlooks prepared with climate experts through Regional Climate Outlook Forums.
Recommendations and Summaries
Concise implications, recommendations and summaries accompanying seasonal outlooks.
Technical Notes
Methods, interpretation details and supporting analysis behind the seasonal forecast products.
Forecast quality
Performance and verification
Review model behaviour and compare issued seasonal outlooks with observed climate conditions.
Statistical and Dynamical Model Performance
Maps and graphs assessing statistical and dynamical seasonal forecasting systems.
- Statistical models
- Dynamical models
Forecast and Outlook Verification
Graphs, maps and evaluation reports showing how previous precipitation and temperature outlooks performed against observed conditions.
- Verification maps
- Verification graphs and reports
Regional collaboration
Climate Outlook Forums
Consensus products bring together ACMAD, African climate centres, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services and global producing centres.